Question 1 Report
(a) An association is made up of 6 farmers and 8 traders. If an executive body of 4 members is to be formed, find the probability that it will consist of at least two farmers. (b) The probability of an accident occurring in a given month in factories X, Y, and Z are \(\frac{1}{5}, \frac{1}{12} \) and \(\frac{1}{6}\) respectively.
Find the probability that the accident will occur in:
i) none of the factories;
(ii) all the factories;
(iii) at least one factory.
(a) Total members \(= 6 + 8 = 14\). Ways to choose 4 \(= \binom{14}{4} = 1001\).
Use the complement of "fewer than 2 farmers":
\[\text{0 farmers} = \binom{6}{0}\binom{8}{4} = 70,\qquad \text{1 farmer} = \binom{6}{1}\binom{8}{3} = 6 \times 56 = 336\] \[P(\text{at least 2 farmers}) = \frac{1001 - 70 - 336}{1001} = \frac{595}{1001} = \frac{85}{143} \approx 0.594\](b) With \(P(X) = \tfrac{1}{5},\ P(Y) = \tfrac{1}{12},\ P(Z) = \tfrac{1}{6}\):
(i) None:
\[\left(\tfrac{4}{5}\right)\left(\tfrac{11}{12}\right)\left(\tfrac{5}{6}\right) = \frac{220}{360} = \frac{11}{18}\](ii) All:
\[\left(\tfrac{1}{5}\right)\left(\tfrac{1}{12}\right)\left(\tfrac{1}{6}\right) = \frac{1}{360}\](iii) At least one:
\[1 - \frac{11}{18} = \frac{7}{18}\]Everything you need to excel in your exams