The probabilities of Rotey obtaining the highest mark in Mathematics, Physics and Biology tests are 0.9, 0.75 and 0.8 respectively. Calculate the probabilit...

Assessment: WAEC SSCE - Further Mathematics - 2009 (Essay) Subject: Further Mathematics

Question 1 Report

The probabilities of Rotey obtaining the highest mark in Mathematics, Physics and Biology tests are 0.9, 0.75 and 0.8 respectively. Calculate the probability of getting the highest marks in at least two of the subjects.

Answer Details

Let the probabilities of topping be \(M = 0.9,\ P = 0.75,\ B = 0.8\), with complements \(0.1,\ 0.25,\ 0.2\). "At least two" means exactly two or all three.

All three: \(0.9\times0.75\times0.8 = 0.54\).

Exactly two:

  • \(M,P\) not \(B\): \(0.9\times0.75\times0.2 = 0.135\)
  • \(M,B\) not \(P\): \(0.9\times0.25\times0.8 = 0.180\)
  • \(P,B\) not \(M\): \(0.1\times0.75\times0.8 = 0.060\)

Sum of exactly two \(= 0.135 + 0.180 + 0.060 = 0.375\).

\[P(\text{at least two}) = 0.375 + 0.54 = \mathbf{0.915}\]

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