A survey conducted revealed that four out of every twenty taxi drivers do not have a valid driving license. If 6 drivers are selected at random, calculate, ...
Question 1 Report
A survey conducted revealed that four out of every twenty taxi drivers do not have a valid driving license. If 6 drivers are selected at random, calculate, correct to three decimal places, the probability that
(a) exactly 2 ;
(b) more than 3 ;
(c) at least 5; have valid driving license.
Answer Details
Four out of twenty lack a valid licence, so \(P(\text{no licence})=\tfrac{4}{20}=0.2\) and \(P(\text{valid})=0.8\). With \(n=6\), \(P(X=r)=\binom{6}{r}(0.8)^r(0.2)^{6-r}\) (\(X\) = number with valid licences).
(a) exactly 2 valid:
\[\binom{6}{2}(0.8)^2(0.2)^4=15(0.64)(0.0016)=0.015.\](b) more than 3 valid \(=P(4)+P(5)+P(6)\):
\[P(4)=\binom{6}{4}(0.8)^4(0.2)^2=15(0.4096)(0.04)=0.24576,\] \[P(5)=\binom{6}{5}(0.8)^5(0.2)=6(0.32768)(0.2)=0.393216,\quad P(6)=(0.8)^6=0.262144.\] \[\text{Sum}=0.24576+0.393216+0.262144=0.901.\](c) at least 5 valid \(=P(5)+P(6)=0.393216+0.262144=0.655\).
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