Question 1 Report
The diagram shows a board made from \(20\) identical squares, \(8\) of which are shaded.
In a game a counter lands at random on one of these squares.
The game is played \(150\) times.
Calculate the expected number of times the counter lands on a shaded square.
The counter lands at random on one of \(20\) identical squares, so each square is equally likely. With \(8\) of the squares shaded, the probability of landing on a shaded square is
\[ \frac{8}{20}=0.4 \]An expected frequency is that probability multiplied by the number of trials, and the game is played \(150\) times:
\[ \frac{8}{20}\times 150 \] [M1] \[ =0.4\times 150=60 \]The counter is expected to land on a shaded square \(60\) times [A1].
The squares being identical is the detail that makes each outcome equally likely; if they differed in size the probability could not be found by counting alone. As a check, the expected number of landings on the \(12\) unshaded squares is \(\frac{12}{20}\times 150=90\), and \(60+90=150\), the total number of games.
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