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WAEC SSCE - Further Mathematics - 2020 (Essay)

Question 1 Report

(a) A bag contains 10 red and 8 green identical balls. Two balls are drawn at random from the bag, one after the other, without replacement. Find the probability that one is red and the other is green.

(b) There are 20% defective bulbs in a large box. If 12 bulbs are selected randomly from the box, calculate the probability that between two and five are defective. 

Answer Details

(a) Bag: 10 red, 8 green (18 balls), two drawn without replacement. One red and one green can occur as (red then green) or (green then red):

\[ P = \frac{10}{18}\cdot\frac{8}{17} + \frac{8}{18}\cdot\frac{10}{17} = 2\cdot\frac{80}{306} = \frac{160}{306} = \frac{80}{153} \approx 0.523. \]

(b) Defective rate \( p = 0.2,\ q = 0.8,\ n = 12 \). Required \( P(2 \le X \le 5) = \sum_{k=2}^{5}\binom{12}{k}(0.2)^k(0.8)^{12-k} \):

  • \( P(2) = \binom{12}{2}(0.2)^2(0.8)^{10} \approx 0.2835 \)
  • \( P(3) = \binom{12}{3}(0.2)^3(0.8)^{9} \approx 0.2362 \)
  • \( P(4) = \binom{12}{4}(0.2)^4(0.8)^{8} \approx 0.1329 \)
  • \( P(5) = \binom{12}{5}(0.2)^5(0.8)^{7} \approx 0.0531 \)

\[ P(2 \le X \le 5) \approx 0.2835 + 0.2362 + 0.1329 + 0.0531 = 0.706. \]

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