The probability scale shows how likely the corner shop is to run out of stock of three items by closing time. 0 1 Milk Bread Newspapers © EAGLE BEACON GLOBA...

Assessment: Mathematics Specification A 4MA1 | Paper 1 Mock 01 | Written Paper 1 (1F/1H) Subject: Mathematics Specification A - 4MA1

Question 1 Report

The probability scale shows how likely the corner shop is to run out of stock of three items by closing time.

0 1 Milk Bread Newspapers © EAGLE BEACON GLOBAL
  1. Write down which item is least likely to run out. (1)
  2. Write down the probability that the shop runs out of bread. (1)
  3. Work out the probability that the shop does not run out of bread. (1)

Answer Details

Each dot's horizontal position on the scale from 0 to 1 gives that item's probability of running out; milk's dot is furthest left (least likely), and bread's sits at 0.6.

  1. [1] Milk's dot is closest to 0, so milk is least likely to run out.
  2. [1] \[ P(\text{bread runs out}) = 0.6 \]
  3. [1] \[ P(\text{bread does not run out}) = 1 - 0.6 = 0.4 \]

The position furthest left on a probability scale always corresponds to the least likely event; this comparison can be made directly from the diagram without needing to read exact numerical values for every dot.

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